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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - NFIB OPTIMISM INDEX


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased to 88.5 in March 2024
Posted: April 9, 2024 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased by 0.9 of a point in March to 88.5, the lowest level since December 2012. This is the 27th consecutive month below the 50-year average of 98. The net percent of owners raising average selling prices rose seven points from February to a net 28% percent ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased to 89.4 in February 2024
Posted: March 12, 2024 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased in February to 89.4, marking the 26th consecutive month below the 50-year average of 98. Twenty-three percent of small business owners reported that inflation was their single most important business problem in operating their business, up three points from last month and replacing labor quality ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased to 89.9 in January 2024
Posted: February 13, 2024 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased two points in January to 89.9, marking the 25th consecutive month below the 50-year average of 98. The net percent of owners who expect real sales to be higher declined 12 points from December to a net negative 16% (seasonally adjusted), a very negative shift ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased to 91.9 in December 2023
Posted: January 9, 2024 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 1.3 points in December to 91.9, marking the 24th consecutive month below the 50-year average of 98. Twenty-three percent of small business owners reported that inflation was their single most important problem in operating their business, up one point from last month, and replacing labor quality ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased to 90.6 in November 2023
Posted: December 12, 2023 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index decreased 0.1 point in November to 90.6, which marks the 23rd consecutive month below the 50-year average of 98. Twenty-two percent of owners reported that inflation was their single most important problem in operating their business, unchanged from October but 10 points lower than this time ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased to 90.7 in October 2023
Posted: November 14, 2023 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

NFIB is celebrating 50 years of the Small Business Economic Trends survey, but small business owners are not feeling optimistic in the current economic environment. The Optimism Index decreased 0.1 points in October to 90.7, marking the 22nd month below the 50-year average. The last time the Optimism Index was at or above the average was ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased to 90.8 in September 2023
Posted: October 10, 2023 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased half of a point in September to 90.8. September’s reading marks the 21st consecutive month below the 49-year average of 98. Twenty-three percent of owners reported that inflation was their single most important problem in operating their business, unchanged from last month and tied with ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased to 91.3 in August 2023
Posted: September 12, 2023 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index decreased 0.6 of a point in August to 91.3, the 20th consecutive month below the 49-year average of 98. Twenty-three percent of small business owners reported that inflation was their single most important business problem, up two points from last month. The net percent of owners raising average selling ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased to 91.9 in July 2023
Posted: August 8, 2023 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 0.9 of a point in July to 91.9, marking the 19th consecutive month below the 49-year average of 98. Twenty-one percent of owners reported that inflation was their single most important problem in operating their business, down three points ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased to 91.0 in June 2023
Posted: July 11, 2023 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index increased 1.6 points in June to 91.0, however, it is the 18th consecutive month below the 49-year average of 98. Inflation and labor quality are tied as the top small business concerns with 24% of owners reporting each as their single most important problem. The net percent of owners raising average ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased to 90.1 in March 2023
Posted: April 11, 2023 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index decreased 0.8 points in March to 90.1, marking the 15th consecutive month below the 49-year average of 98. Twenty-four percent of owners reported inflation as their single most important business problem, down four points from last month. Small business owners expecting better business conditions over the ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased to 90.9 in February 2023
Posted: March 14, 2023 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 0.6 points in February to 90.9 but remains below the 49-year average of 98. Twenty-eight percent of owners reported inflation as their single most important business problem, up two points from last month. Owners expecting better business conditions over the next six months deteriorated two ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased to 90.3 in January 2023
Posted: February 14, 2023 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 0.5 points in January to 90.3, remaining below the 49-year average of 98. Down six points from last month, 26% of owners reported inflation was their single most important problem in operating their business. Owners expecting better business conditions over the next six months improved six ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index declined to 89.8 in December 2022
Posted: January 10, 2023 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index declined 2.1 points in December to 89.8, marking the 12th consecutive month below the 49-year average of 98. Owners expecting better business conditions over the next six months worsened by eight points from November to a net negative 51%. Inflation remains the single most important business problem with ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose to 91.9 in November 2022
Posted: December 13, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

Inflation remains the top business problem for small business owners, with 32% of owners reporting it as their single most important problem in operating their business, five points lower than July’s highest reading since the fourth quarter of 1979. The Small Business Optimism Index rose 0.6 points in November to 91.9. November’s reading is ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index declined to 91.3 in October 2022
Posted: November 8, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index declined 0.8 points in October to 91.3, which is the 10th consecutive month below the 49-year average of 98. Thirty-three percent of owners reported that inflation was their single most important problem in operating their business, three points higher than September’s reading and four points lower than ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose to 92.1 in September 2022
Posted: October 11, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index rose 0.3 points in September to 92.1, making the ninth consecutive month below the 48-year average of 98. Thirty percent of owners reported that inflation was their single most important problem in operating their business.

“Inflation and worker shortages continue to be the hardest challenges facing small business owners,” said NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg. “Even with these challenges, owners are still seeking opportunities to grow their business in the current period.” ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose to 91.8 in August 2022
Posted: September 13, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 1.9 points in August to 91.8, marking the eighth consecutive month below the 48-year average of 98 but reversing some of the declines in the first half of the year. Twenty-nine percent of owners reported that inflation was their single most important problem in operating their business, a decrease ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose to 89.9 in July 2022
Posted: August 9, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index rose 0.4 points in July to 89.9, however, it is the sixth consecutive month below the 48-year average of 98. Thirty-seven percent of small business owners reported that inflation was their single most important problem in operating their business, an increase of three points from June and the highest ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index dropped to 89.5 in June 2022
Posted: July 12, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index dropped 3.6 points in June to 89.5, marking the sixth consecutive month below the 48-year average of 98. Small business owners expecting better business conditions over the next six months decreased seven points to a net negative 61%, the lowest level recorded in the 48-year survey. Expectations for ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell to 93.1 in May 2022
Posted: June 14, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Optimism Index fell 0.1 points in May to 93.1, marking the fifth consecutive month below the 48-year average of 98. Owners expecting better business conditions over the next six months decreased four points to a net negative 54%, the lowest level recorded in the 48-year-old survey. Expectations for better business conditions ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index unchanged at 93.2 in April 2022
Posted: May 10, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index was unchanged in April, remaining at 93.2 and the fourth consecutive month below the 48-year average of 98. Small business owners expecting better business conditions over the next six months decreased one point to a net negative 50%, the lowest level recorded in the ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased to 93.2 in March 2022
Posted: April 12, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased in March by 2.4 points to 93.2, the third consecutive month below the 48-year average of 98. Thirty-one percent of owners reported that inflation was the single most important problem in their business, up five points from February and the highest reading since the first quarter of 1981. ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased to 95.7 in February 2022
Posted: March 8, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

In February, the NFIB Optimism Index decreased by 1.4 points to 95.7, the second consecutive month below the 48-year average of 98. Twenty-six percent of owners reported that inflation was their single most important problem in operating their business, a four-point increase since December and the highest reading since the third quarter ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased slightly to 97.1 in January 2022
Posted: February 8, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased slightly in January to 97.1, down 1.8 points from December. Inflation remains a problem for small businesses as 22% of owners reported that inflation was their single most important business problem, unchanged from December when it reached the highest level since 1981. The net percent of ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased slightly to 98.9 in December 2021
Posted: January 11, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased slightly in December to 98.9, up 0.5 points from November. Twenty-two percent of small business owners reported that inflation was their single most important problem encountered in operating their business. Price raising activities has reached levels not seen since the early 1980’s when prices ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased to 98.4 in November
Posted: December 14, 2021 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased slightly in November by 0.2 points to 98.4. Four of the 10 Index components improved, four declined, and two were unchanged. The NFIB Uncertainty Index decreased four points to 63.

“As the end of the year nears, the outlook for business conditions is not encouraging to small business owners as lawmakers propose additional mandates and tax increases,” said NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg. “Owners are also pessimistic as many continue managing ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased to 98.2 in October
Posted: November 9, 2021 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased slightly in October by 0.9 points to 98.2. One of the 10 Index components improved, seven declined, and two were unchanged.

“Small business owners are attempting to take advantage of current economic growth but remain pessimistic about business conditions in the near future,” said NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg. “One of the biggest problems for small businesses is the lack of workers for ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased to 99.1 in September
Posted: October 12, 2021 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased one point in September to 99.1. Three of the 10 Index components improved, five declined, and two were unchanged.

“Small business owners are doing their best to meet the needs of customers, but are unable to hire workers or receive the needed supplies and inventories,” said NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg. “The outlook for economic policy is not encouraging to owners, as lawmakers ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased to 100.1 in August
Posted: September 14, 2021 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased in August to 100.1, up 0.4 points from July. Five of the 10 Index components improved, four declined, and one was unchanged. The NFIB Uncertainty Index decreased seven points to 69, the lowest level since January 2016.

“As the economy moves into the fourth quarter, small business owners are losing confidence in the strength of future business conditions,” said NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg. “The biggest problems facing small employers right now is finding enough labor to meet their ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased to 99.7 in July
Posted: August 10, 2021 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased in July to 99.7, a decrease of 2.8 points, reversing June’s 2.9-point gain. Six of the 10 components declined, three improved, and one was unchanged. The NFIB Uncertainty Index decreased seven points to 76, indicating owners’ views are held with more certainty than in ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased to 102.5 in June
Posted: July 13, 2021 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Optimism Index increased 2.9 points in June to 102.5, the first time the Index exceeded 100 since November 2020. Seven of the 10 Index components improved and three declined. The NFIB Uncertainty Index increased four points to 83.

“Small businesses optimism is rising as the economy opens up, yet a record number of employers continue to report that there are few or no qualified applicants for open positions,” said NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg. “Owners are also having a hard time keeping their ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index Dipped to 99.6 in May
Posted: June 8, 2021 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Optimism Index fell a bit in May to 99.6, a decline of 0.2 points from April. After steadily increasing in each month of 2021, May saw a slight pause in the recovery of small business optimism. The economy is doing very well currently, and owners are scrambling to take advantage of it by hiring and investing. The first five Index components ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index Rose to 99.8 in April
Posted: May 11, 2021 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose to 99.8 in April, an increase of 1.6 points from March. The Optimism Index has increased 4.8 points over the past three months since January but a record 44% of owners reported job openings they could not be filled.

“Small business owners are seeing a growth in sales but are stunted by not having enough workers,” said NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg. “Finding qualified employees remains the biggest challenge for small businesses and is slowing economic growth. Owners are raising ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index Rose to 98.2 in March
Posted: April 13, 2021 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 2.4 points in March to 98.2. March’s reading is the first return to the average historical reading since last November. The NFIB Uncertainty Index increased six points to 81, which was primarily driven by owners being more uncertain about whether it is a good time to expand their business and ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index Improves Slightly to 95.0 in February
Posted: March 9, 2021 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose to 95.8 in February, a slight bump from January but still below the 47-year average reading of 98. The NFIB Uncertainty Index decreased five points to 75.

“Small business owners worked hard in February to overcome unexpected weather conditions along with the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic,” said NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg. “Capital spending has been strong, but not on Main Street. The economic recovery remains uneven for ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index declined to 95.9 in December
Posted: January 12, 2021 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index declined 5.5 points in December to 95.9, falling below the average Index value since 1973 of 98. Nine of the 10 Index components declined and only one improved. Owners expecting better business conditions over the next six months declined 24 points to a net ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index dipped to 101.4 in November
Posted: December 8, 2020 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index declined 2.6 points in November to 101.4 but remain well above the 47-year historical average reading of 98. Six of the 10 Index components declined and four increased. The NFIB Uncertainty Index decreased 8 points to 90, still a historically high reading. Owners expecting better business conditions over ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index unchanged at 104.0 in October
Posted: November 10, 2020 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Optimism Index remained at 104.0 in October, unchanged from September and a historically high reading. Four of the 10 components improved, 5 declined, and 1 was unchanged. Although all of the data was collected prior to Election Day, a 6-point increase in the NFIB Uncertainty Index to 98 was likely driven by the election and ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 3.8 points to 104.0 in September
Posted: October 13, 2020 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Optimism Index rose 3.8 points to 104.0 in September, a historically high reading. Nine of the 10 Index components improved and one declined. The NFIB Uncertainty Index increased 2 points to 92, up from 75 in April.

“As parts of the country continue to open, small businesses are seeing some improvements in foot traffic and sales,” said NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg. “However, some small businesses are still struggling financially to operate at full capacity while navigating ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 1.4 points to 100.2 in August
Posted: September 8, 2020 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Optimism Index increased 1.4 points in August to 100.2, a reading slightly above the historical 46-year average. Seven of the 10 Index components improved, two declined, and one was unchanged. The NFIB Uncertainty Index increased two points in August to 90, the second-highest reading ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 1.8 points to 98.8 in July
Posted: August 11, 2020 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index fell 1.8 points to 98.8 in July, near the survey’s historical average. Overall, 4 of the 10 Index components improved, 5 declined, and 1 was unchanged. The NFIB Uncertainty Index increased 7 points to 88. Reports of expected better business conditions in the next six months declined 14 points to a net ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 6.2 points to 100.6 in June
Posted: July 14, 2020 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Small Business Optimism Index increased 6.2 points in June to 100.6 with eight of the 10 components improving and two declining. Owners anticipate improving sales as the economy continues to re-open with expectations rebounding to a net 13% after April’s lowest reading in survey history (a net negative 42%). Small business owners continue ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 3.5 points to 94.4 in May
Posted: June 9, 2020 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Small Business Optimism Index increased 3.5 points in May to 94.4, a strong improvement from April’s 90.9 reading. Eight of the 10 Index components improved in May and two declined. The NFIB Uncertainty Index increased seven points to 82. Reports of expected business conditions in the next six months increased 5 points to a net 34%, ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 5.5 points to 90.9 in April
Posted: May 12, 2020 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

Small business optimism took another dive in April, falling 5.5 points to 90.9, with owners expressing certainty the economy will weaken in the near-term, but expecting it to improve over the next six months. The Optimism Index has fallen 13.6 points over the last two months, with nine of 10 Index components declining in April and ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 8.1 points to 96.4 in March
Posted: April 7, 2020 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 8.1 points in March to 96.4, the largest monthly decline in the survey’s history. Nine of the 10 Index components declined, which is evidence that economic disruptions are escalating on Main Street as small businesses struggle to keep their doors open. The small business sector is anticipating ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 0.2 points to 104.5 in February
Posted: March 10, 2020 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

Small business owners expressed slightly higher levels of optimism in February with the NFIB Optimism Index moving up 0.2 points to 104.5, a reading among the top 10 percent in the 46-year history of the survey. Those expecting better business conditions increased and job creation and openings improved as well. Real sales expectations ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 1.6 points to 104.3 in January
Posted: February 11, 2020 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The small business Optimism Index started the New Year in the top 10% of all readings in the 46-year history of the survey, rising 1.6 points to 104.3 in the month of January. Six of the 10 Index components improved, two declined, and two were unchanged, with the Uncertainty Index edging up slightly. Owners expecting better business ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index down 2.0 points to 102.7 in December
Posted: January 14, 2020 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

Small business optimism ended the year historically strong, with a reading of 102.7, down 2 points from November. Seven of 10 components fell, two improved, and one was unchanged. An increased number of small business owners reported better business conditions and expect higher nominal sales in the next three months. While frequency of plans ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 2.3 points to 104.7 in November
Posted: December 10, 2019 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

Small business optimism posted the largest month-over-month gain since May 2018, rising 2.3 points to 104.7 in November. The exceptional Optimism Index reading was bolstered by seven of the 10 Index components advancing, led by a 10-point improvement in earnings. Owners reporting it is a good time to expand increased by 6 points and ...



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National Association for Business Economics
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Founded in 1920, the National Bureau of Economic Research is a private, nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to promoting a greater understanding of how the economy works.

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