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U.S. leading economic index declined 0.2%
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The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. declined 0.2 percent in June to 109.8, following a 0.5 percent increase in May, and a 0.1 percent decline in April.
The indicators point to slower growth through the fall. Two trends will have a direct impact on the pace of economic expansion. First, improvement in the industrial core of the economy will moderate as inventory rebuilding slows. Second, improvement in the service sector has been relatively slow, with little indication that it will pick up momentum.
The LEI decreased in two of the last three months, but its level is still about 4.5 percent above its previous peak before the recession began. Moreover, the gains among the LEI components have been widespread, with the exception of housing permits and stock prices, pointing to an expanding economy, but at a slower pace in the second half of the year.
The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for the U.S. was unchanged in June, following a 0.5 percent increase in May, and a 0.3 percent increase in April. The Conference Board Lagging Economic Index® (LAG) increased 0.1 percent in June to 107.6, following a 0.1 percent decline in May, and a 0.3 percent decline in April.
Posted: July 22, 2010 Thursday 10:00 AM